German Retail Sales Down

This is not surprising, but it is hard to see how the German economy is going to generate GDP and employment growth in 2005. Remember global trade is slowing gradually, so it is hard to see who you can rely on exports.

Retail sales in Germany, Europe’s largest economy, fell in April as unemployment held near a post- World War II record and consumer confidence slumped.

Sales, adjusted for inflation and seasonal swings, fell 3 percent from a year earlier, the Federal Statistics Office in Wiesbaden said today. Economists expected sales to be unchanged, the median of 13 forecasts in a Bloomberg survey showed. Sales in the first four months of the year fell 1 percent. The report did not give a seasonally adjusted comparison with the previous month.

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About Edward Hugh

Edward 'the bonobo is a Catalan economist of British extraction. After being born, brought-up and educated in the United Kingdom, Edward subsequently settled in Barcelona where he has now lived for over 15 years. As a consequence Edward considers himself to be "Catalan by adoption". He has also to some extent been "adopted by Catalonia", since throughout the current economic crisis he has been a constant voice on TV, radio and in the press arguing in favor of the need for some kind of internal devaluation if Spain wants to stay inside the Euro. By inclination he is a macro economist, but his obsession with trying to understand the economic impact of demographic changes has often taken him far from home, off and away from the more tranquil and placid pastures of the dismal science, into the bracken and thicket of demography, anthropology, biology, sociology and systems theory. All of which has lead him to ask himself whether Thomas Wolfe was not in fact right when he asserted that the fact of the matter is "you can never go home again".