While Germany Is Steadily Catching Up

Industrial production in Germany fell by 4.6 per cent in December, more than in any month since German reunification in 1990, according to the Economics Ministry in Berlin today. This follows a 3.7 per cent fall in November. As a result output fell by a record 12.0% over the December 2007 figure.

On Thursday, the Economy Ministry reported that German new orders fell 25.1% in the 12 months to December, falling 6.9% on the November number. Which means there is worse to come, a feeling which is only confirmed by the German January Purchasing Managers Index which showed that manufacturing contracted at its fastest pace in over 12 years in January as further slumps in demand also lead employers to cut staff at a record pace. The headline index in the Purchasing Managers’ Index fell to 32.0 in January from 32.7 in December, bringing it further below the 50.0 mark separating contraction from expansion.

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About Edward Hugh

Edward 'the bonobo is a Catalan economist of British extraction. After being born, brought-up and educated in the United Kingdom, Edward subsequently settled in Barcelona where he has now lived for over 15 years. As a consequence Edward considers himself to be "Catalan by adoption". He has also to some extent been "adopted by Catalonia", since throughout the current economic crisis he has been a constant voice on TV, radio and in the press arguing in favor of the need for some kind of internal devaluation if Spain wants to stay inside the Euro. By inclination he is a macro economist, but his obsession with trying to understand the economic impact of demographic changes has often taken him far from home, off and away from the more tranquil and placid pastures of the dismal science, into the bracken and thicket of demography, anthropology, biology, sociology and systems theory. All of which has lead him to ask himself whether Thomas Wolfe was not in fact right when he asserted that the fact of the matter is "you can never go home again".