And Chirac Agrees

President Jacques Chirac said there will be no renegotiation of the proposed EU Constitution if French voters reject the treaty in their referendum on May 29.

‘There will obviously be no renegotiation,’ Chirac said at a joint press conference with German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder and Polish President Aleksander Kwasniewski in the eastern French city of Nancy.

‘There is no plan B possible,’ he added, since other EU members will refuse to open new talks on the treaty. ‘We will not renegotiate because we will have nobody to negotiate with.’
Source: Forbes

Dutch Referendum: Euro-scepticism

Dutch Finance Minister Gerrit Zalm is in the news again. Last time I read about him it was because he had started a weblog. This time the issue is different: he describes himself as being “totally fed up” with the fact the Dutch public thinks that it was effectively robbed by the way the euro was introduced.

Behind this ‘frustration’ lies a startk reality: the controversy over the valuation of the the guilder at the time of monetary union is one of the key factors fuelling the ‘no’camp in the forthcoming referendum.
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EU Fast-Tracks China Textile Dispute

The European Union yesterday issued a final warning to China over its booming textile exports, threatening sanctions against two categories of textiles to prevent ?irreparable harm? to European producers. EU Commissioner Peter Mandelson has proposed emergency talks with China on imports of T-shirts and flax yarn. T-shirts and flax yarn are two of the nine categories of textile imports from China currently under investigation by Brussels following allegations of a surge in exports. Under the emergency talks procedure the normal 60 day WTO procedure is by-passed:

Normally investigations can take up to 60 days, but the procedure allows for this period to be cut short and urgent consultations within the WTO triggered for any product where import surges and the risk of immediate damage to the EU industry are very high. “In view of the seriousness of market disruption in these categories, formal consultations need to begin immediately,” the European Commission said in a statement on Tuesday.

“Only if China does not take effective action will the Commission propose temporary limits or safeguard measures on the growth of Chinese exports in the categories concerned in 2005.”

Under WTO rules, the consultation procedure requires China to remedy the situation by slowing the growth of its exports in these area to the level of the first 12 of the previous 14 months, plus 7.5 per cent.

Does this decision mean people are really getting nervous about the upcoming French constitution referendum? I have a longer post on this topic here.

French Referendum: No Vote On The Rebound

The ‘No’ campaign seems once more to have regained the lead in the run-up to France’s referendum on May 29, with French voters apparently ignoring all warnings about the damage that would be caused by rejection of Europe’s constitutional treaty.

One explanation for this may be the fact that leading politicians of the left – like Jacques Delors and Laurent Fabius – have given the impression that a ‘no’ outcome would lead to a probable ‘renegotiation’ of the treaty, with an outcome more favourable to French interests. The latest opinion polls show that an increasing proportion of respondents say France could renegotiate a better treaty after a No vote. According to the Ipsos poll cited below, nearly 62 per cent of respondents now hold this opinion.

Confounding pollsters, pundits and politicians alike, public opinion in France has swung back behind a no vote to the new European constitution, say three surveys published yesterday.

Less than two weeks before France’s May 29 referendum on the treaty, the polls by the TNS-Sofres, Ipsos and CSA agencies for Le Monde, Le Figaro and Le Parisien newspapers showed support for the no camp, trailing since the end of April, had bounced back to between 51% and 53%.
TheGuardian

Item

CDU chief Angela Merkel’s strong opposition to Turkish EU accession faces criticism from her own side, reports the FT Deutschland. Volker R?he, the CDU chairman of the parliamentary foreign affairs committee and one-time defence minister, has lambasted Merkel’s position as ‘populism’, especially in its menacing vision of a Europe ‘flooded’ by Turks. ‘When Europe comes to Anatolia,’ say R?he, ‘Anatolia won’t need to come to Gelsenkirchen.’ Unless, of course, it wants to watch Schalke ’04…

Go vote.

It is not just my personal experience that many people’s opinion’s about the EU and its institutions are predominantly based on a political chicken and egg problem: No one knows what came first, ignorance or lack of interest; however, both do a great job in reinforcing each other.

A particularly eye-opening experience was the change od hearts of a conservative friend who now actually works for the Tory party. Only a couple of days of un-biased research for a paper about the EU and much of the previously stated Superstate rethoric had become obsolete and intellectually dishonest.

Sure, institutional Europe does feature a certain, and often bemoaned “democratic deficit”. But more importantly, I’d say, Europe lacks citizens appreciating the importance of the democratic procedures already in place. But this, I suggest, is much less the people’s fault than now suggested by the same media that usually avoids explaining the complexity and importance of European governance for our life. A little because many journalists have a hard time with complexity themselves, but more importantly, because the technocratic and rather invisible way politcs is done in Brussels – while appreciated by national politicians – does not make good tv.

The media thus usually constructs a simplified reality that not accurately reflects the true nature of our multi-level political system. With respect to Germany, it may be indicative of this trend that Wolfgang Klein, a former EU correspondent for the German public network ARD, who once produced a very informative yet little known programme about the EU, has now moved to Berlin and become the editor of the much less informative, yet influential, political talk show “Christiansen“. Gresham’s law applies to eyeballs, too.

After the first direct election to the European Parliament the political scientists Karlheinz Reif and Hermann Schmidt stipulated that it was largely a “second order national contest”. Subsequent analyses largely confirmed their intuitive proposition that the national, not the European political agenda – and electoral alternatives – are the most decisive factor for voters. That was at a time when the Parliament did not have nearly as much influence as it has today. Strangely though, in light of the predominance of the national political sphere, it does seem somewhat cynically appropriate to group the EU elections with local elections, as in Britain or some regions of Germany – why not get over with all second order elections at the same time?

So should you still have doubts about the your choice for the European election and will cast your vote in Germany, why not take a look at the European “Wahl-O-mat“, if only to give this election the consideration it deserves. The application has been developed by an independent editorial board in cooperation with the German Bundeszentrale f?r Politische Bildung (Federal Centre for Political Education) and the Dutch Instituut voor Publiek en Politiek, which developed the original application “stemwijzer“. They do still offer a Stemwijzer for the Dutch EU elections, but then it might be a little late for a change of heart in this respect.

For everybody not voting in the Netherlands or in Germany, votematch.net offers the first Stemwijzer derived electoral helper-tool based on European party statements, not those of national lists – and it’s in English. One word of advice though – don’t be shocked if the results aren’t what you expect. The weighting seems a little arbitrary at times, despite the possibility to choose areas of importance in the end.

Interestingly, answering “neutral” for all 30 questions leads to a recommendation to vote for the Social Democrats in the German case. And somehow I wasn’t even surprised…