Go Vote.

It is not just my personal experience that many people’s opinions about the EU and its institutions are predominantly based on a political chicken and egg problem: No one knows what came first, ignorance or lack of interest; however, both do a great job in reinforcing each other.

A particularly eye-opening experience for me was the change of hearts of a conservative friend who is now a lonely Europhile in the Tory party. Only a couple of days of un-biased research for a paper about the EU and much of the previous Superstate rethoric had to become intellectually dishonest. Sure, institutional Europe does feature a certain, and often bemoaned “democratic deficit”. But more importantly, I’d say, Europe lacks citizens appreciating the importance of the democratic procedures already in place.

But this, I suggest, is much less the people’s fault than now suggested by the same media that usually avoids explaining the complexity and importance of European governance for our life; a little because many journalists have a hard time with complexity themselves, but more importantly, because the technocratic and rather invisible way politcs is done in Brussels – while appreciated by national politicians – does not make good tv.
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Go vote.

It is not just my personal experience that many people’s opinion’s about the EU and its institutions are predominantly based on a political chicken and egg problem: No one knows what came first, ignorance or lack of interest; however, both do a great job in reinforcing each other.

A particularly eye-opening experience was the change od hearts of a conservative friend who now actually works for the Tory party. Only a couple of days of un-biased research for a paper about the EU and much of the previously stated Superstate rethoric had become obsolete and intellectually dishonest.

Sure, institutional Europe does feature a certain, and often bemoaned “democratic deficit”. But more importantly, I’d say, Europe lacks citizens appreciating the importance of the democratic procedures already in place. But this, I suggest, is much less the people’s fault than now suggested by the same media that usually avoids explaining the complexity and importance of European governance for our life. A little because many journalists have a hard time with complexity themselves, but more importantly, because the technocratic and rather invisible way politcs is done in Brussels – while appreciated by national politicians – does not make good tv.

The media thus usually constructs a simplified reality that not accurately reflects the true nature of our multi-level political system. With respect to Germany, it may be indicative of this trend that Wolfgang Klein, a former EU correspondent for the German public network ARD, who once produced a very informative yet little known programme about the EU, has now moved to Berlin and become the editor of the much less informative, yet influential, political talk show “Christiansen“. Gresham’s law applies to eyeballs, too.

After the first direct election to the European Parliament the political scientists Karlheinz Reif and Hermann Schmidt stipulated that it was largely a “second order national contest”. Subsequent analyses largely confirmed their intuitive proposition that the national, not the European political agenda – and electoral alternatives – are the most decisive factor for voters. That was at a time when the Parliament did not have nearly as much influence as it has today. Strangely though, in light of the predominance of the national political sphere, it does seem somewhat cynically appropriate to group the EU elections with local elections, as in Britain or some regions of Germany – why not get over with all second order elections at the same time?

So should you still have doubts about the your choice for the European election and will cast your vote in Germany, why not take a look at the European “Wahl-O-mat“, if only to give this election the consideration it deserves. The application has been developed by an independent editorial board in cooperation with the German Bundeszentrale f?r Politische Bildung (Federal Centre for Political Education) and the Dutch Instituut voor Publiek en Politiek, which developed the original application “stemwijzer“. They do still offer a Stemwijzer for the Dutch EU elections, but then it might be a little late for a change of heart in this respect.

For everybody not voting in the Netherlands or in Germany, votematch.net offers the first Stemwijzer derived electoral helper-tool based on European party statements, not those of national lists – and it’s in English. One word of advice though – don’t be shocked if the results aren’t what you expect. The weighting seems a little arbitrary at times, despite the possibility to choose areas of importance in the end.

Interestingly, answering “neutral” for all 30 questions leads to a recommendation to vote for the Social Democrats in the German case. And somehow I wasn’t even surprised…

Futility in our time

Kevin Drum has an analysis of the recent failures in Iraq that merit some serious consideration. His point is that where many see the Iraq war as a good idea that was ruined by incompetent leadership, there is a more fundamental problem. Setting up the regime people thought they were installing in Iraq would certainly have required the kind of financial resources and force commitment no one has seen since WWII. Was Saddam Hussein really a threat of Hitlerian magnitude? It seems unlikely that many folks would have agreed.

But the more general question is the more interesting one. How do you respond to a world where actually fixing problems is beyond the resources available?

This more general problem goes beyond Iraq to places like Bosnia and Kosovo, where the minimum preconditions for peace – a secure and basically content populace – would stretch the limits of the most generous foreign aid programme. Disrupting peace and security is always far cheaper than establishing it. The economics of insurgency easily favour the insurgents. If vast numbers of troops and truckloads of money can’t bring peace to tiny Kosovo, is there any hope at all for Congo?

Those wacky neoliberals

Johan “In defense of Global Capitalism” Norberg really doesn’t like Joseph Stiglitz, but he really, really likes Jagdish Bhagwati. I found that interesting because my impression – based on reading op-eds and reviews of their respective globo books – was that while Stiglitz has adopted the posture of a critic of “globalization” and Bhagwati the one of a defender, they don’t actually disagree much on any substansive issues. But maybe I’m wrong?

I also note with interest that he’s a fan of The Fountainhead and Atlas Shrugged.

Repelling a spam attack

There was an enormous spam attack overnight. It came to about 300 posts. I’m trying to install some software to more permanently forstall this problem.

I’ve deleted all the offending posts, but it’s possible that I have deleted non-spam posts as well, although I did my best to avoid that outcome. If I have, I apologise and assure you that no political censorship of comments is intended. I have only once deleted a comment for reasons other than spamming, and that was a clearly personal and offensive attack on a poster.

So, if you have a had a genuine comment of yours removed in the last couple of hours, please feel free to repost it.

Cheap travel

Although there are potentially looming problems of overcapacity and concerns about subsidies, it’s hard to deny that the emergence of budget airlines over the last decade has revolutionised travel among European countries, not only through cheap fares but also by allowing more flexible travelling arrangements, with a greater choice of flight departures and destinations. Furthermore the competition from them has had a positive knock-on effect on previously stuffy national airline companies, such as Lufthansa and British Airways.
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