About Jamie Kenny

Jamie is a journalist from the UK.

life on earth

What has happened since the election is supposedly a taste of what will happen if we ever get proportional representation. Count me as a convert. What we have here is information we don’t get when the winner just ends up outside Downing Street looking smug and standing on a big pile of votes. We get a plain view of how the senior political classes behave while under pressure; how they behave towards their frenemies in the other parties, how they react to the various gurglings and moanings from within their own ranks. We see the media throwing up all commitment to the pretence of objectivity in their reporting – we get to see the narrative being constructed rather than having to guess at that through how it being plays out. 

We get to judge the capabilities of politicians conducting their everyday tradecraft – and my, doesn’t Cameron look the weak willie? There’s still a remote possibility that he’ll have his coalition snatched from under him by the party sixty seats behind: a week ago his party was talking about storming into No 10 even if they didn’t get a majority. In fact, this may be working to his temporary advantage if it really has led people in the Labour Party to rediscover the virtues of principled opposition. More generally, we get to see all of them squirming about in the petri dish. We become a more educated electorate. Hell, Sky should have sent Adam Boulton home with some powerful tranquillisers days ago and hired David Attenborough to cover for him.

royal hunt of the Clegg

This is from the wiki about human sacrifice among the Aztecs: 

 What we can glean from all this is that the sacrificial role entailed a great deal of social expectation and a certain degree of acquiescence. Sahagun's informants told him that key roles were reserved for persons who were considered 'charming…quick..dances with feeling.. without [moral] defects … of good understanding … good mannered'(Sahagun Bk 2: 24: 68-69). 

For many rites, the victim had such a quantity of prescribed duties that it is difficult to imagine how the accompanying festival would have progressed without some degree of compliance on the part of the victim. For instance, victims were expected to bless children, greet and cheer passers-by, hear people's petitions to the gods, visit people in their homes, give discourses and lead sacred songs, processions and dances …  [and] these [pre-sacrificial] rites were performed in the case of all the prisoners, each in turn. 

It should also be remembered that these sacrifices were ritualistic and symbolic acts accompanying huge feasts and festivals. Victims usually died in the "center stage" amidst the splendor of dancing troupes, percussion orchestras, elaborate costumes and decorations, carpets of flowers, crowds of thousands of commoners, and all the assembled elite. 

This is basically what Cleggy and the Lib Dems were subjected to this weekend, an intensive process designed to socialise – hypnotise, almost – them into propping up a Tory government under circumstances that would lead to their annihilation, with Cameron playing the role of Mexica high priest and “the markets” playing the role of Huitzlipochtli and kindred other Gods whose anger needs to be appeased. See also the solar king myths of prehistoric Europe. 

As it happens, the LDs are showing some signs of resilience to this process. But we shall see.

UPDATE: Scratch all that. David Cameron is Edward Woodward.

reverse ferret scenario

So Cleggy boy meets Brown, while carefully not having a face to face with Cameron. Not bad. Obviously, he’s not so lost in the creamy embrace of the Cameron-media complex to exclude a bidding war. 

Here’s a scenario, based on 

i) final abandonment of the idea that anyone is “acting on principle” 

ii) not getting electoral reform is suicidal for the Lib Dems 

Absolutely desperate for some kind of deal to reverse Clegg’s apparently irresistible drift towards the Tories, Brown offers proportional representation without a referendum, to take place at the next election, whenever that is. 

Clegg takes the deal, and immediately precipitates an election. Labour duly get hammered. So do the LD’s. But they still come out ahead in seats because their votes are now proportionate. 

Clegg goes into coalition with the Tories. 

Woe, beating of breasts, laments for the progressive coalition, etc, etc. 

As I say, just a thought. It’s probably more likely that he’s stringing Brown along to get more out of the Tories.

controlled demolition

Niall Ferguson, not surprisingly, argues in the Speccie, also not surprisingly, that the Tories should deliberately crash the economy for ideological reasons – 1979-80 style – and then call in the IMF.

This idea has apparently already “been doing the rounds in Tory circles.” But I guess that’s not surprising either. 

It kind of fits in with Cameron’s plan to storm the gates if he doesn’t get a majority. The general feel of the Tory campaign over the last few days has been of people nerving themselves up to do something drastic. 

On a local note, there’s a car cruising the streets of Crumpsall right now – quite a snazzy late model VW Passat – telling the broad masses to “Vote Respect – for cleaner streets and brighter parks”. We seem to have come a long way since Gorgeous George went to America to beard the Senators in their lair.

essential pathology

John Harris, writing about the PM’s bid for the votes of people who deal with customers on a daily basis, says

This may sound tangential, but I'm rather reminded of a passage from a Tony Blair conference speech that both set out New Labour's credo, and captured its essential pathology. "The character of this changing world is indifferent to tradition," he said. "Unforgiving of frailty. No respecter of past reputations. It has no custom and practice. It is replete with opportunities, but they only go to those swift to adapt, slow to complain, open, willing and able to change." That doesn't describe Gillian Duffy, nor millions and millions of other people. And in this awful episode, here are the wages of that ever-festering disconnection. 

Me, I think Mrs Duffy’s adapting quite well: 

Gillian Duffy is being represented by a public relations agent and will not be giving any further comment this evening on her dealings with the prime minister, the BBC understands. 

I look forward to next Sunday’s News of the World with interest. Once more, Prime Minister, welcome to the world you made.

what gordon should have said

You’re worried about immigrants? Jesus wept woman, I had this guy shot for you. What more do you want? 

Some of this goes back to the accession of the Poles, et al to the EU, when the government desperately tried to fudge the likely numbers coming in. What they could have said at the time was “ we know that large population transfers tend to make people nervous, but frankly we’re looking forward to getting hundreds of thousands of extra taxpayers in to help pay for all the stuff you get from the government. And it also means your kids can work anywhere they please on the continent too: and what’s more they won’t be stacking shelves. British win!” And just to underscore the point they could have timed a major public spending programme to the arrival of our Eastern European fellow toilers, being experts in the dark political arts and everything. They could have at least redirected some of the extra tax receipts that our new friends have contributed to the Treasury specifically to relieving what extra pressure there has been on schools, hospitals and other public services. 

All else aside, Mrs Duffy was owed an explanation of the likely consequences of the government’s actions at the time. If she’d have been given one, Brown might not have made such an arse of himself now. 

When our kid was young and he thought that there were monsters under the bed we tried to make it clear to him that not only were there no monsters under the bed but that there were no monsters full stop: because when you’re dealing with irrational fear what you need to make clear first of all is that there is nothing to be scared of. 

What the government has done over immigration was firstly to tell people that there were no monsters coming here, thus confirming the notion that immigration is in fact something monstrous; then saying that there are monsters coming here, but don’t worry, we only let them in if we give them licenses and if we find any under your bed we’ll deport them. Sure enough, the treatment certain categories of migrant are subjected to is truly monstrous, when it’s not just foul and mean spirited. This is positive encouragement for people to see monsters where none exist. Finally, an old lady comes along and tells Gordon about the monsters under her bed and he calls her a bigot. Now the Tories are dancing about shouting WOO, MONSTERS! and Gordon’s doom is apparently sealed*. Welcome, Prime Minister, to the world you made. 

 See also Justin, from whom I have snaffled many links in the above. 

*Maybe. On the other hand this seems to rest on a conviction that the “core Labour vote” is synonymous with the “confused Granny vote”, which strikes me as a version of the same metropolitan media condescension that metropolitan media types now like to accuse other metropolitan media and political types of. Hey, ho.

tzzzzeeep

Watched The Debate this time. Ho Hum. Brown was a bit better than I thought he’d be. I imagined a conveyor belt filled with rubble chugging its way through the studio, discharging nuggety factoids at random. But he managed to make his personality cohere, more or less. Not a hugely appealing personality, consisting mainly of a lot of statistics held together by a gluey sense of entitlement, but we already knew that. 

Cameron was Cameron. Some of the stuff he was coming up with sounded like the kind of thing people who like that kind of thing like to hear, though it’s a different matter whether they like to hear it from him. He’s caught in the Blair trap: the more sincere he sounds, the more he conveys the feeling that he’s putting one over. 

Cleggy boy ain’t all that. I mean, he’s alright in a "doesn’t wipe his nose on his sleeve" sense, which seems to be all that’s required right now. He sounded a bit apologetic about his best policies, ie on immigration and Trident, which is a mistake. He didn’t exactly squirm; it was more a slightly queasy appeal to reason, with lots of stuff about kicking things into committees. His position on both these issues cries out to be presented aggressively as “plain common sense” and he couldn’t shape up to that properly. He really should have mocked Cameron over his China comments last week. 

Sky had Osborne on afterwards, congratulating them on holding such a wonderful debate, which raises the underlying meta-issue in the election: 

Last week, the Lib-Dem candidate Nick Clegg—the third party candidate in the race—did so well in a television debate that he began to emerge as the logical alternative to Labor. This has caused the Murdoch papers to unleash a full-scale attack on Clegg—with hardly any pretense other than to help Cameron—now known as the “Kill Klegg” campaign. 

First I heard of it, though it’s quite good. 

In turn, the Independent newspaper ran a front pager yesterday with the headline “Rupert Murdoch will not decide the outcome of the election. You will,” challenging the Murdoch coverage of the race.

 Later in the afternoon, in a coming-apart-at-the-seams scenario, Rebekah Wade/Brooks and Murdoch’s son, James—who will both face the wrath of Murdoch senior if they don’t produce a winner—stormed over to the Independent, breached its security systems, barged into the offices of the Independent’s editor-in-chief and top executive, Simon Kelner, and commenced, in Brit-speak, a giant row. Their point was that newspaper publishers don’t slag off other newspaper publishers in polite Britain, but also the point was to remind Kelner that he wasn’t just slagging off another publisher, he was slagging off the Murdochs, damn it. Indeed, the high point of the screaming match was Wade/Brooks, in a fit of apoplexy and high drama, neck muscles straining, saying to Kelner: “And I invited you to Blenheim in the first place!” Blenheim being the Murdoch family retreat and the highest social destination for all Murdoch loyalists and ambitious Brits in the media. 

 This is one way for empires to end. 

Osborne’s comment showed that the Tories’ loyalties are still with the Empire. Nick, I suspect, will be happy to do business come the glorious day. Shame really. Some indication that he wasn’t could see him really attack the Labour core vote, and maybe get not a few Tories on board too. 

Incidentally, I was impressed by the way Clegg used the Lib Dem position on EU membership – an in/out referendum – to encourage Cameron to present his right wing for plundering by UKIP, which Cameron duly did. Maybe that’s a bit premature in terms of votes this time, but I am amused by the combination of “plucky outsider” “Mr honest as the day is long” and “cute as a shithouse rat.” There was the tzzzzeeep of the stiletto about the thing. I just wish he’d done it on Trident.

the endless halls

Clegg spent many years in the endless halls of Brussels and Strasbourg, working for the European Commission and then as an MEP. A privileged environment that may have been, but above all a bourgeois one, and one whose elites were meritocratic and technocratic, not aristocratic. (Also deeply dull-sounding. The recollection that Geoff Hoon was an MEP before he entered parliament somehow makes that role seem almost devoid of any joy or life.) 

I used to work part time for an MEP and got to Brussels now and again. It was more fun than that. 

Thing is, they stack MEPs offices by party in Brussels, or used to. All the conservative parties were based on the first two floors. The European socialists were above them, and above them was where the fun started. 

My MEP’s office was directly beneath the Abode of the Liberals, and sometimes you couldn’t hear yourself think. There’d be shouting and odd cries and people running up and down corridors and the sound of heavy things being dragged to and fro. This would go on all day. I poked my head round the door once when I got the wrong floor on the lift and there were three men standing in a corridor staring intently into an open briefcase. One of them turned round, bared his teeth and hissed at me. The fascists used to complain about them. 

 But then the Euro-Liberals were an odd crew, libertarians in the continental style, with all the not quite coherence that implies: Dutch sex shop entrepreneurs sharing a caucus with really angry dentists from Stuttgart. And the Italian Radicals had to be seen to be believed. I suppose Clegg or someone like him spent a lot of his time going from place to place telling everyone to calm down and be reasonable. Or maybe he went native. Was it him being dragged down a corridor, or doing the dragging? I’m sure the Mail will get round to telling us.

little boats

In re: the Volcano Flight Chaos, as all the TV stations seem to be calling it. I just heard the Tory transport spokesman say that what we needed was a “Dunkirk type flotilla of little boats” to rescue our fellow citizens stranded in, oh I don’t know, Frankfurt and Milan and places like that I suppose. In fact she said that she knew for sure that there was one raring to go right now, but it was being held back by the Border Agency, the same one the Tories say is helpless to prevent anyone coming or going from the UK. 

I also know of lots of people who want to solve the whole volcanic ash problem by blowing upwards through a really big straw. I have informed the authorities of my fine plan in many, many e-mails. But instead of rewarding this act of individual initiative and mutual aid, they simply fail to respond.

demonstrating uncertainty

Hey ho, big media seems to have picked up what I suppose we’ll have to call Cameron’s China gaffe:

British Conservative Party leader David Cameron cited uncertainty over China as one of the reasons for Britain to maintain its nuclear deterrent, drawing an instant reprimand from Foreign Minister David Miliband. 

“Are we really happy to say that we’d give up our independent nuclear deterrent when we don’t know what is going to happen with Iran, we can’t be certain of the future in China?” Cameron said in a debate last night against his rivals in May 6 elections, Prime Minister Gordon Brown and Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg. “I say we should always have the ultimate protection of our independent nuclear deterrent.” 

… The Conservatives issued a statement saying, “David Cameron was demonstrating the extent of uncertainties in the world, not saying China is a threat to the U.K.” 

So he did actually mean China – I mean, inasmuch as he meant anything. What does he think is going to happen in China that requires Britain to have nuclear weapons?

Cameron’s said some not bad things in the past about distancing Britain somewhat from US policy, but he’s done some deeply flaky things in foreign policy more generally. There’s his European parliamentary alliance with Latvian SS nostalgics, that bizarre trip to Georgia in 2008 and now this. 

Maybe it’s basically because he’s a classic Tory little Englander who doesn’t really think about abroad, except that it’s where you go skiing and where the au pairs come from. But it can’t help that he’s got people like Michael Gove around him when his thoughts do turn in that direction. 

It would be kind of ironic if Cameron did take power and the US, which actually controls the use of our “independent deterrent”, decides to take it away on the grounds that he can’t really be trusted with it. I mean, he’s not demonstrating uncertainty here so much as adding to it.